BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023
North Carolina 2022 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.47 |
27.02 |
27.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
391.09 |
374.09 |
374.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.65 |
5.65 (+0.00) |
North Carolina 2022 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
36.64 |
38.95 (+2.32) |
33.25 |
37.57 (+4.32) |
37.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
476.09 |
479.85 (+3.76) |
462.42 |
527.07 (+64.65) |
527.07 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.74 |
6.84 (+0.10) |
6.31 |
7.10 (+0.79) |
7.10 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.18 |
29.33 (-3.85) |
31.58 |
31.06 (-0.52) |
31.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
417.73 |
381.41 (-36.31) |
448.08 |
469.57 (+21.49) |
469.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.98 |
5.78 (-0.20) |
6.17 |
6.73 (+0.56) |
6.73 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2022-08-28 |
Florida A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-24 |
1-0 |
| 2022-09-03 |
@Appalachian State |
46.20 |
38.84 |
+7.37 |
85.04 |
61.82% |
W 63-61 |
2-0 |
| 2022-09-10 |
@Georgia State |
45.38 |
33.74 |
+11.63 |
79.12 |
68.66% |
W 35-28 |
3-0 |
| 2022-09-24 |
Notre Dame |
29.72 |
38.30 |
-8.58 |
68.01 |
36.24% |
L 32-45 |
3-1 |
| 2022-10-01 |
Virginia Tech |
37.82 |
20.52 |
+17.30 |
58.33 |
77.75% |
W 41-10 |
4-1 |
| 2022-10-08 |
@Miami |
37.64 |
28.82 |
+8.81 |
66.46 |
64.13% |
W 27-24 |
5-1 |
| 2022-10-16 |
@Duke |
33.87 |
40.06 |
-6.20 |
73.93 |
40.06% |
W 38-35 |
6-1 |
| 2022-10-30 |
Pittsburgh |
34.89 |
37.94 |
-3.06 |
72.83 |
45.10% |
W 42-24 |
7-1 |
| 2022-11-05 |
@Virginia |
27.18 |
24.59 |
+2.59 |
51.77 |
54.15% |
W 31-28 |
8-1 |
| 2022-11-13 |
@Wake Forest |
39.14 |
50.60 |
-11.46 |
89.73 |
31.62% |
W 36-34 |
9-1 |
| 2022-11-19 |
Georgia Tech |
35.87 |
24.27 |
+11.60 |
60.14 |
68.61% |
L 17-21 |
9-2 |
| 2022-11-25 |
NC State |
27.15 |
29.49 |
-2.34 |
56.64 |
46.24% |
L 27-30 |
9-3 |
| 2022-12-04 |
Clemson |
28.58 |
43.48 |
-14.91 |
72.06 |
26.09% |
L 10-39 |
9-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.01% |
| 2-11 |
0.12% |
| 3-10 |
0.92% |
| 4-9 |
3.71% |
| 5-8 |
10.01% |
| 6-7 |
18.39% |
| 7-6 |
24.05% |
| 8-5 |
21.48% |
| 9-4 |
13.49% |
| 10-3 |
5.86% |
| 11-2 |
1.65% |
| 12-1 |
0.30% |
| 13-0 |
0.02% |